Feb 23 2010
Military Rose – The 2010 Golden Slipper Special
We are into the Autumn carnival of 2010 now so I think it time we discuss the early market for the richest race in the world for two year olds, the famous Golden Slipper. I find myself drawn to sprint races over all others as typically the faster horses are more competitive more often in these races and that makes things a little more predictable (from my perspective). The choice for a jockey to take a sit and sprint play is somewhat minimised due to the shortness of the 1000 and 1200 meter races. A quality horse is usually capable of running out a quick 1200 meters without falling in a heap before the finish line. I like to call this shorter race distance hypothesis my ‘theory of predictability’.
The only issues I have found with this over the years is that two year olds like any young children can be erratic which puts a gapping hole in my previously mentioned theory of predictability.
To back up the above I have also developed the following for two year olds, which I call my ‘Theory of Breed-ability’. In most two year old races I like to go with a horse that is paying above $8.00 – $10.00 but has good breeding. In most early two year old races you can usually find something that has finished 3rd – 6th in a barrier trial or hasn’t set the world on fire in its first race so no one rates it in the market. If you have a look through the form there is usually something there you are able to get a good price on sit back and hope for some money.
Take my early thought for this years Golden Slipper. Military Rose was thrown by General Nediym which on its own is nothing to sneeze at but its Dam is out of Flying Spur who himself won the 1995 Slipper and has had more then one descendant win the race. This to me is good breeding, the other part that impressed me is the race times this filly has been putting in.
Currently sitting at $12 on sportingbet.com.au’s current Golden Slipper Market it is looking like an unplucked peach.
I like it but you may have another opinion, would love to hear it.
Current Golden Slipper Market thanks to Sportingbet.com.au (updates here)
Solar Charged 7
Beneteau 8
Military Rose 12
Psychologist 13
Elimbari 15
Chance Bye 15
Hinchinbrook 17
Run For Wilson 18
Georgette Silk 20
Shaaheq 21
My Amelia 21
Actrice 26
Manahara 26
Legalistic 26
Maules Creek 26
Mafia Miss 31
Ambers Waltz 31
Thegoodandthegreat 31
Skilled 35
Divorces 35
Intertidal 35
Evidentia 35
Hiatus 35
Dove Lake 41
Needs Further 41
Rockabee Miss 41
Echoes Of Heaven 41
Gold Arena 41
More Strawberries 41
Snap Dragons 41
Polska 51
Altius 51
Obsequious 51
Marmaa 51
Follonica 51
Ardeche 51
Legally 51
Mutamayez 51
Quinlans Passage 51
Ilovethiscity 51
Eucumbene 51
My Man Of War 51
Miss Celebrate 51
Ebony Rock 51
Sultah 51
Pellizotti 51
Hautto 51
Blue Lotus 51
Pressday 51
Queens Fashion 51
Military Blonde 51
Shrapnel 61
Our Freedom 61
Xaviers Dream 61
Jigsaws 61
Brightexpectations 61
Offshore Sham 61
Triple Crown 61
Bell Trees 61
Ridotto 61
Tango Valentino 71
Muktashef 71
Revenged 71
Salivate 71
Snip N Paste 71
Miss Gai Flyer 71
Moon Lake 71
Multahem 71
Porto Cristo 71
Stratcombe 71
Mulu Miss 71
Nakata 71
Chiliad 71
Christmas 71
Chic And Easy 71
Carved In Stone 71
Charing Cross 71
Catgotyourtongue 71
Cosmo Gal 71
Cosmic Causeway 71
Citigal 71
Botticelli Angel 71
Bedhrah 71
Vecheka 71
Ganda 71
Zutara 71
Eurynome 71
Junood 71
Disposed 71
Empress Milly 71
Boto Vermelho 71
Anacheeva 71
Balustrade 71
April In Venice 71
Allthekingshorses 71
French Rose 71
Flying Charlie 71
Hamel 71
Milanesa 71
Wolfofwallstreet 71
Halekulani 71
End Of Time 71
Fashion 71
Corvidae 71
Tizona 71
Trisara 71
Mastamho 71
Master Of Reality 71
Sister Havana 71
Renewed Vitality 71
Rock Of Fortune 71
Royal Battalion 71
Roulettes 71
Salutations 71
Reckons 71
Manicero 71
Texan 71
Technicolour 71
Mikoyan 71
Lone Rock 71
Tropicana Lady 71
Curonian 71
Crossbow 71
Crystal Empire 71
Kentucky Belle 71
Silent Reward 81
Protector 81
Lifetime Honor 81
Gigstar 81
Giresun 81
Al Aseel 81
Chinkara Dancer 81
Bound For Stardom 81
Debut 81
Cristallo 81
Conch 81
Asterix 81
Arboreta 81
Cricketer 81
Count Your Fingers 81
Cosmonaut 81
Butt Im Ready 81
Port Augusta 81
Sun Glow 81
Miss Fiona 81
Renounce 81
Mossing 91
Barangaroo 91
La Hdood 91
Lohan 91
Skordst 101
Toms Choice 101
Circle Of Power 101
Tropicana Girl 101
Trapani 101
Without Peer 101
Vader 101
Supurvera 101
Tale Of Thunder 101
Outlook Express 101
Kerchings 101
Private Show 101
From London 101
Pinnacle Ridge 101
Reventon 101
Battle Ready 101
Quidnunc 101
Bentleys Best 101
Rosetti 101
Milestone 101
Kingfisher 101
Lady Off The Ranch 101
Lonchero 101
Etinceler 101
Quadrella Girl 101
Mac Chois 126
Cyndiana Star 126
Raseed 126
Mr Hong Kong 126
Engine 126
Toolbag 126
The Last General 126
Jomar Star 126
Unanimously 151
Beyond A Shadow 151
Excellence 151
Andromache 151
Laud Bentley 151
Across The Moon 151
Halos Image 151
Jeroboam 151
Jellicle Cats 151
Wilful Default 151
So Detached 151
Prince Charmant 151
Star Demon 151
Poetic Justice 151
Quasera 151
Saint Eros 151
Rockaway Star 151
Queen Commander 151
Ralfiennes 151
Merger Benefits 151
Three Star General 151
Magnum Force 151
Plastic Fantastic 151
Extra Celestial 151
Cant Be Doubted 151
Big Sunday 201
Found The One 201
Nachtanzs Secret 201
Dig Dirt Toni 201
Corleon 201
Kuroda Field 201
Sensational Spirit 201
Sienna Gold 201
Crimson Ribbon 201
Cuddles For Naara 201
Circus Rock 251
Malbun 251
Paese Commands 251
Good Hunting 251
Savodara 301
Speron Doro 301
Im Lovely 351
Setta Rocks 351
Tamaka 401
Sam I Am 401
Shirvo, I think that Beneteau (current market $8) is going to be something special, especially when it learns how to race. Came 3rd in the Blue Diamond and had no idea what it was doing. Maybe the Sydney way of going wil suite better. This is nmy early pick for the Golden Slipper. My quinella horse is My Amelia at $21.
Your pick – Military Rose was very impressive winning the MM in January. Trained by one of my favourites Gillian Heinrich, she will surely give a great sight, however, the MM winner has not been a great indicator of the Slipper winner (apart from last year of course)
In other races, I have gone with the early fixed price odds and locked in
Denman (Aust Guineas) at $4.40, now into $1.40
Rangirangdoo (Doncaster) $12, now into $8 and
All Silent (Newmarket) $6.00, unchanged
GOOD LUCK TO ALL!
I agree with Tounge. Benetau is a Ferrari on L-Plates. Once he gets his P’s then he will decimate all before him…….
YOU ARE GAMBLING LOSERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Says the ultimate loser!
Beneteau is the obvious one and I agree with Tounge (put that one in your diaries) on it’s Diamond run.
I didn’t think Psychologist was too bad the other day and I’ll be having a couple of bucks on Ambers Waltz at $31.
The real surprise for me in all this is that Gav likes one of the shorter priced horses.
Oh yeah I’m a real loser……with my 6 figure salary, sporting & academic achievements, charity work, friends in high places & much improved ability with the opposite sex.
How is the cleaning job going loser?
Just as I suspected SKUNK…stunned silence from you. Yes you read correctly – I earn over $100,000 per year. Please enjoy your $26/hr. What sort of a car can you buy with that?
Is that all you earn IASM? Let me know if you get a bit short of cash and I’ll slip you a loan.
That is per year Fat One, not per lifetime!!
Just keep on serving those drive-through customers loser!!
IASM – the life of a rent boy hey……good money though, not my cup of tea……
Oh you are my hero Dipstick – Yet again!
A 6 figure salary, sporting & academic achievements, charity work, friends in high places & much improved ability with the opposite sex.
We know your track record with imbelishing a story so let me put that into laymans terms.
I earn $36k – That has a 6 in the salary
I can kick a piece of wood
I am the first person in my family to have graduated grade 10.
Most of my friends are dead
I now have to talk to women, because the men I liked rejected me.
Thanks for that insight into you life Dipstick.
What’s a rent boy Tigress?
SKUNK, I can send you a payslip & photos of my academic awards & sporting trophies if you don’t believe me?
How does it feel that I earn triple what you do? Loser!
It’s not too late to finish yr 11 & 12. Let me guess you’re too lazy & too busy gambling to do it.
Let me guess, all your friends were probably druggies.
Let me guess, your male friends have probably all turned away from you because you were stealing from them to fuel your gambling addiction.
Am I correct? Admit it! People often remark at how amazing I am when I ‘guess’ right about their life. Admit that I’m accurate.
WAKE UP TO YOURSELF YOU LOSER. DO SOMETHING WITH YOUR LIFE!!
Otherwise you’ll never know what it’s like to have the trappings of my existence!
Please post your payslip & photos of your academic awards & sporting trophies on this website if you are that good if you are game, as I DO NOT believe you
this line cracks me up “much improved ability with the opposite sex” So you have gone from absolute shit to mediocre?
SJ, arrange for the facility for me to embed images. I think it will please us all if I shut the lazy-drug-gambling-addicted loser SKUNK up for good!
Krusty Nickers, let’s just say I am not lonely anymore. Maybe it was a maturity thing? Jules, if you’re on-line can you please share with the team what’s happened between us?
No reply I see SKUNK. How surprising. Maybe you’re just sssssoooooo busy slaving away for your miniscule $36k a year?
You need to be careful what you let slip on the blog dumbo. Unless you’re actually proud of your life?
A bit harsh was I SKUNK? Have we seen the last of you, you stinking scared little pig?!
I see that you are a patient little NIFF! I am still waiting to see all of the glory with your payslip & photos. Who am I kidding. You have got nothing as per usual.
I am curious – Isn’t Jules that guy from Getaway or similar type show? I see you like blondes. How is Jules Dipstick?
Also, could you stop being so harsh towards me with your tirades. Words like Dumbo and phrases such as stinking scared little pig really upset me. Please, oh please stop.
Girls can we get back to the issue here and talk about the slipper.
Military Rose can not win the Slipper.Will actually get smashed and probably finish last.
Beneteau could be a show but to have the horse peak again in a race like the slipper rookie trainer and all, doubt it. He is the real deal and very well may win, but if i was a bookie i’d take him on.
ELIMBARI will win the slipper.Providing the horse doesn’t draw the carpark put your house on.Lees would of gone to Melbourne and won the blue diamond but he knows and i know that this is nearly impossible.This horse is something and i’m sure you will see what i mean in coming weeks.
My slipper tips – 1.Elimbari 2.Solar Charged 3.Hinchinbrook.
Trusting for the newmarket,big chance.Zagreb to win the Australian Cup.
Happy Punting.
IASM, ur a fu*kin c**khead!! Take ya 6 figure salary and ya husband and go tell someone who gives a flying f*uck!!!!!
Another one bites the dust. You all right sj you ok mate?
Thanks mate, yes I am ok.
A little poorer but all in all ok. Dam that Crystal ‘pushes all off the track’ Lilly.
Go Webber this afternoon!
Webber needs to push the right pedal down harder.